{ "_id": "6ab5ae5fc18b73ce90b50c22", "Package": "ModalForecast", "Title": "Parametric Modal ARIMA and Seasonal ARIMA Models using the SKD\nFamily", "Version": "0.2.0", "Authors@R": "c(\nperson(\"Christian\", \"Galarza\", email = \"chedgala@espol.edu.ec\", role = c(\"aut\", \"cre\")),\nperson(\"Sergio Luis\", \"Mercado Londoño\", email = \"luis.mercado@udea.edu.co\", role = \"ctb\"),\nperson(\"Víctor Hugo\", \"Lachos\", email = \"hlachos@uconn.edu\", role = \"ctb\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0002-7239-2459\")))", "Description": "Implements parametric modal Autoregressive Integrated\nMoving Average (ARIMA) and seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) models\nutilizing the Skewed Distribution (SKD) family, in which the\nconditional mode, rather than the conditional mean, follows the\n(seasonal) ARIMA recursion. Current distributions supported are\nthe Skew-Normal, Skewed Student-t, and Skewed Laplace. The\nparameters are estimated by maximum likelihood using analytical\ngradients. Includes residual diagnostics, simulation envelopes,\nautomatic order selection, joint and marginal modal forecasts,\nexact and parametric bootstrap prediction intervals, and\nclassical asymptotic inference via the Fisher Information\nmatrix. Methods are described in Galarza, C.E., Lachos, V.H.,\nCabral, C.R.B., & Castro, L.M. (2017) .", "URL": "https://github.com/chedgala/ModalForecast", "BugReports": "https://github.com/chedgala/ModalForecast/issues", "License": "GPL-3", "Encoding": "UTF-8", "RoxygenNote": "7.3.3", "Config/testthat/edition": "3", "Repository": "https://chedgala.r-universe.dev", "Date/Publication": "2026-09-24 22:52:34 UTC", "RemoteUrl": "https://github.com/chedgala/modalforecast", "RemoteRef": "HEAD", "RemoteSha": "9fe552cd77bd6ea08e00bc062b52e181f81ea21c", "NeedsCompilation": "no", "Packaged": { "Date": "2026-09-24 23:08:19 UTC", "User": "root" }, "Author": "Christian Galarza [aut, cre],\nSergio Luis Mercado Londoño [ctb],\nVíctor Hugo Lachos [ctb] (ORCID:\n)", "Maintainer": "Christian Galarza ", "_user": "chedgala", "_type": "src", "_file": "ModalForecast_0.2.0.tar.gz", "_fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/fb90d68eed074df54c5f024b842aa300c2020f1ae2f7d21d2f5dc90746a6bf22", "_filesize": 960153, "_sha256": "fb90d68eed074df54c5f024b842aa300c2020f1ae2f7d21d2f5dc90746a6bf22", "_expires": "2027-01-02T23:12:29.000Z", "_created": "2026-09-24T23:08:19.000Z", "_published": "2026-09-24T23:12:31.269Z", "_jobs": [ { "job": 107872394554, "time": 214, "config": "linux-devel-x86_64", "r": "4.7.0", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838691850" }, { "job": 107872394583, "time": 174, "config": "linux-release-x86_64", "r": "4.6.1", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838542177" }, { "job": 107872394548, "time": 151, "config": "macos-oldrel-arm64", "r": "4.5.3", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838606996" }, { "job": 107872394619, "time": 147, "config": "macos-release-arm64", "r": "4.6.1", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838302117" }, { "job": 107871455240, "time": 200, "config": "source", "r": "4.6.1", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838436656" }, { "job": 107872394529, "time": 116, "config": "wasm-release", "r": "4.6.0", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838072338" }, { "job": 107872394764, "time": 134, "config": "windows-devel-x86_64", "r": "4.7.0", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10837943995" }, { "job": 107872394694, "time": 94, "config": "windows-oldrel-x86_64", "r": "4.5.3", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838112243" }, { "job": 107872394658, "time": 106, "config": "windows-release-x86_64", "r": "4.6.1", "check": "OK", "artifact": "10838038734" } ], "_host": "GitHub-Actions", "_buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/chedgala/actions/runs/36070906992", "_status": "success", "_upstream": "https://github.com/chedgala/modalforecast", "_commit": { "id": "9fe552cd77bd6ea08e00bc062b52e181f81ea21c", "author": "Christian E Galarza ", "committer": "Christian E Galarza ", "message": "Replace stale white-background lynx diagnostics figure in README\n\nRemove man/figures/diagnostics_lynx_premium.png (a 0.1.0-era, white-\nbackground, non-seasonal Modal ARIMA(3,0,4) diagnostic panel) and\nreference the new dark-theme, transparent-background diagnostic panel\nfor the Modal SARIMA(4,0,2)(1,0,0)[10] fit instead. Also fix the section\nheading and caption, which described an envelope comparison across the\nthree SKD distributions but actually showed the unrelated 6-panel\ndiagnostic grid for a single fit; rewrite them to match what the image\nshows.\n\nCo-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 \n", "time": 1790290354 }, "_maintainer": { "name": "Christian Galarza", "email": "chedgala@espol.edu.ec" }, "_distro": "resolute", "_registered": true, "_dependencies": [ { "package": "R", "version": ">= 3.5.0", "role": "Depends" }, { "package": "stats", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "utils", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "graphics", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "forecast", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "ggplot2", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "gridExtra", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "scales", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "grid", "role": "Imports" }, { "package": "rmarkdown", "role": "Suggests" }, { "package": "testthat", "version": ">= 3.0.0", "role": "Suggests" }, { "package": "knitr", "role": "Suggests" } ], "_owner": "chedgala", "_selfowned": true, "_usedby": 0, "_updates": [ { "week": "2026-11", "n": 4 }, { "week": "2026-12", "n": 4 }, { "week": "2026-16", "n": 4 }, { "week": "2026-17", "n": 1 }, { "week": "2026-18", "n": 1 }, { "week": "2026-39", "n": 5 } ], "_tags": [], "_stars": 0, "_contributors": [ { "user": "chedgala", "count": 24, "uuid": 8940694 } ], "_userbio": { "uuid": 8940694, "type": "user", "name": "Christian E. 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